{"id":27892,"date":"2013-12-30T15:26:48","date_gmt":"2013-12-30T13:26:48","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/slovaklinesmagazin.sk\/cms\/?p=27892"},"modified":"2014-02-17T11:12:42","modified_gmt":"2014-02-17T09:12:42","slug":"desat-trendov-ktore-prekvapivo-nabrali-novy-kurz","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.slovaklinesmagazin.sk\/cms\/2013\/12\/desat-trendov-ktore-prekvapivo-nabrali-novy-kurz\/","title":{"rendered":"Desa\u0165 trendov, ktor\u00e9 prekvapivo nabrali nov\u00fd kurz."},"content":{"rendered":"

Niektor\u00e9 nov\u00e9 trendy prekvapivo pretv\u00e1raj\u00fa nielen americk\u00fa ekonomiku, ale odr\u00e1\u017eaj\u00fa sa aj v celosvetovom finan\u010dnom syst\u00e9me.<\/b><\/p>\n

S\u00fa\u010dasn\u00fd svet sa kr\u00fati v znamen\u00ed vysokej nezamestnanos\u0165, pomal\u00e9ho rastu, alebo revol\u00facie bridlicov\u00fdch pal\u00edv. To s\u00fa skuto\u010dnosti ktor\u00e9 n\u00e1jdeme aj v hlavn\u00fdch titulkoch svetov\u00fdch m\u00e9di\u00ed. Ob\u010das je ale potrebn\u00e9 vedie\u0165 \u010d\u00edta\u0165 aj medzi riadkami, aby sme zistili, \u017ee nast\u00fapen\u00fd smer sa za\u010d\u00edna meni\u0165. A to z\u00e1sadne.<\/p>\n

1. Sol\u00e1rny boom<\/strong><\/p>\n

\"\"<\/a><\/p>\n

Doteraj\u0161\u00ed trend: Sol\u00e1rna energia je drah\u00e1, biznis je z\u00e1visl\u00fd na dot\u00e1ci\u00e1ch.
\nNov\u00fd trend: Lacn\u00e1 sol\u00e1rna energia reformuje tradi\u010dn\u00fd priemysel.<\/em><\/strong><\/p>\n

Od 70. rokov klesla cena sol\u00e1rnych panelov o viac ako 99 % a redukcia n\u00e1kladov v\u010faka nov\u00fdm technol\u00f3gi\u00e1m nekon\u010d\u00ed. V\u00a0dostato\u010dne slne\u010dn\u00fdch oblastiach (ako je napr\u00edklad americk\u00e1 Arizona) u\u017e dok\u00e1\u017ee sol\u00e1rna energia konkurova\u0165 fos\u00edlnym paliv\u00e1m bez vl\u00e1dnych dot\u00e1ci\u00ed.<\/p>\n

2. Migr\u00e1cia do USA<\/strong><\/p>\n

\"\"<\/a><\/p>\n

Doteraj\u0161\u00ed trend: Do Ameriky prich\u00e1dzaj\u00fa Hisp\u00e1nci.
\nNov\u00fd trend: Do Ameriky sa s\u0165ahuj\u00fa Aziati.<\/em><\/strong><\/p>\n

Migra\u010dn\u00fd boom z Mexika do USA zd\u00e1 sa kon\u010d\u00ed. Prosperuj\u00face mexick\u00e1 ekonomika, ni\u017e\u0161ia miera p\u00f4rodnosti u mexick\u00e9ho obyvate\u013estva, americk\u00fd prepad v stavebn\u00edctve a \u010fal\u0161ie faktory viedli od roku 2008 k poklesu mexickej imigr\u00e1cie do USA takmer na nulu (a mo\u017eno a\u017e do z\u00e1poru).<\/p>\n

Do USA prich\u00e1dza st\u00e1le ve\u013ea \u013eud\u00ed zo zahrani\u010dia, ale u\u017e nie z Latinskej Ameriky, ale z \u00c1zie, a to tempom zhruba pol mili\u00f3na pris\u0165ahovalcov za rok. \u00c1zijsk\u00e1 men\u0161ina v USA u\u017e dosiahla 6 %. V\u00e4\u010d\u0161ina \u0161t\u00fadi\u00ed pova\u017euje imigr\u00e1ciu za pr\u00ednosn\u00fa pre ekonomiku, obzvl\u00e1\u0161\u0165 ke\u010f s\u00fa novo prich\u00e1dzaj\u00faci vzdelan\u00ed, maj\u00fa podnikate\u013esk\u00e9ho ducha, \u010do pre Aziatov plat\u00ed. Zakladaj\u00fa potom nov\u00e9 firmy a tvoria pracovn\u00e9 miesta pre Ameri\u010danov.<\/p>\n

3. \u010c\u00ednska pracovn\u00e1 sila<\/strong><\/p>\n

\"\"<\/a><\/p>\n

Doteraj\u0161\u00ed trend: Popula\u010dn\u00fd boom \u010c\u00edny.
\nNov\u00fd trend: Stagn\u00e1cia miery rastu po\u010dtu obyvate\u013eov v \u010c\u00edne.<\/em><\/strong><\/p>\n

V roku 2012 po\u010det \u010c\u00ed\u0148anov v produkt\u00edvnom veku klesol o 3,45 mili\u00f3na. To znamen\u00e1, \u017ee \u010c\u00edna pri\u0161la o mno\u017estvo pracuj\u00facich zodpovedaj\u00facich zhruba obyvate\u013estvu Libanonu. Tento rok bude pokles e\u0161te v\u00e4\u010d\u0161\u00ed a do 30. rokov tohto storo\u010dia sa tempo e\u0161te zr\u00fdchli. \u010c\u00ednska nevy\u010derpate\u013en\u00e1 z\u00e1soba lacnej pracovnej sily doch\u00e1dza ove\u013ea r\u00fdchlej\u0161ie, ne\u017e sa o\u010dak\u00e1valo.<\/p>\n

Ani zru\u0161enie nesl\u00e1vne zn\u00e1mej politiky jedn\u00e9ho die\u0165a\u0165a neod\u0161tartoval v \u010c\u00edne baby boom. V oblastiach, kde u\u017e bola zru\u0161en\u00e1 sk\u00f4r, zost\u00e1va miera p\u00f4rodnosti pod celon\u00e1rodn\u00fdm priemerom. Popula\u010dn\u00fd pokles s\u00edce v\u00fdraznej\u0161ie nezasiahne \u010d\u00ednsku pracovn\u00fa silu, av\u0161ak podpor\u00ed invest\u00edcie v mnoh\u00fdch ostatn\u00fdch chudobn\u00fdch krajin\u00e1ch a prin\u00fati \u010d\u00ednske firmy ve\u013emi r\u00fdchlo zmeni\u0165 svoje strat\u00e9gie.<\/p>\n

4. Zne\u010distenie ovzdu\u0161ia<\/strong><\/p>\n

\"\"<\/a><\/p>\n

Doteraj\u0161\u00ed trend: Emisie oxidu uhli\u010dit\u00e9ho v USA rast\u00fa.
\nNov\u00fd trend: Emisie oxidu uhli\u010dit\u00e9ho v USA klesaj\u00fa.<\/em><\/strong><\/p>\n

\u010ciasto\u010dne v\u010faka ekonomickej stagn\u00e1cii, ale predov\u0161etk\u00fdm v\u010faka boomu v \u0165a\u017ebe zemn\u00e9ho plynu z\u00a0bridl\u00edc, klesli v\u00a0USA, jedinej ve\u013ek\u00e9 bohatej krajine, ktor\u00e1 nepodp\u00edsala Kj\u00f3tsky protokol, emisie oxidu uhli\u010dit\u00e9ho na najni\u017e\u0161iu \u00farove\u0148 od 90. rokov. Pokles by mal pokra\u010dova\u0165. Svetov\u00e9 emisie ale aj tak rast\u00fa. Najv\u00e4\u010d\u0161iu vinu na tom m\u00e1 \u010c\u00edna.<\/p>\n

5. Vzdelanie<\/strong><\/p>\n

\"\"<\/a><\/p>\n

Doteraj\u0161\u00ed trend: Vysok\u00e1 \u0161kola je z\u00e1klad.
\nNov\u00fd trend: Vysoko\u0161kolsk\u00e9 vzdelanie u\u017e nie je rozhoduj\u00face.<\/em><\/strong><\/p>\n

Ak chce\u0161 dobr\u00fa pr\u00e1cu, cho\u010f na vysok\u00fa \u0161kolu. To bolo heslo, ktor\u00e9 e\u0161te ned\u00e1vno platilo. Finan\u010dn\u00e9 pr\u00e9mie za titul vytrvalo r\u00e1stli. V poslednej dek\u00e1de a pol je to ale in\u00e9, t\u00e1to pr\u00e9mia stagnuje. Vysok\u00e1 \u0161kola je st\u00e1le zamestn\u00e1vate\u013eom hodnoten\u00e1 pozit\u00edvne, nie je u\u017e ale z\u010faleka jedin\u00fdm ukazovate\u013eom.<\/p>\n

6. Americk\u00fd \u017eivotn\u00fd \u0161t\u00fdl a doprava<\/strong><\/p>\n

\"\"<\/a><\/p>\n

Doteraj\u0161\u00ed trend: Ameri\u010dania nejd\u00fa nikam bez auta.
\nNov\u00fd trend: Ameri\u010dania objavuj\u00fa vlaky a verejn\u00fa dopravu.<\/em><\/strong><\/p>\n

Predt\u00fdm st\u00e1l pre Ameri\u010danov benz\u00edn len p\u00e1r dol\u00e1rov. S jeho zdra\u017eovan\u00edm v\u0161ak mnoh\u00e9 rodiny kone\u010dne upravuj\u00fa svoj \u017eivotn\u00fd \u0161t\u00fdl. Aj ke\u010f miera nezamestnanosti kles\u00e1, vyu\u017e\u00edvaj\u00fa Ameri\u010dania aut\u00e1 \u010doraz menej. Zvy\u0161uje sa z\u00e1ujem o \u017eelezni\u010dn\u00fa dopravu, a tak akcie niektor\u00fdch firiem zo sektora posil\u0148uj\u00fa (napr\u00edklad Amtrak s 55 % ziskom od roku 1997).<\/p>\n

7. Zdravotn\u00e1 starostlivos\u0165<\/strong><\/p>\n

\"\"<\/a><\/p>\n

Doteraj\u0161\u00ed trend: N\u00e1klady na zdravotn\u00fa starostlivos\u0165 nekontrolovate\u013ene rast\u00fa a prehlbuj\u00fa deficity.
\nNov\u00fd trend: N\u00e1klady na zdravotn\u00edctvo sa zvy\u0161uj\u00fa len mierne, rovnako ako deficity.<\/em><\/strong><\/p>\n

Zlo\u017eia Ameriku n\u00e1klady a\u00a0dlhy za zdravotn\u00edctvo? Mo\u017eno \u00e1no, ale nie tak r\u00fdchlo, ako t\u00fdm niektor\u00ed hrozia. N\u00e1klady na zdravotn\u00fa starostlivos\u0165 s\u00edce rast\u00fa r\u00fdchlej\u0161ie ne\u017e je tempo hospod\u00e1rskeho rastu, ale v\u010faka inov\u00e1ci\u00e1m v medic\u00edne, recesii, alebo mo\u017eno aj Obamacare spoma\u013euje. Podiel pracovn\u00fdch miest v zdravotn\u00edctve kles\u00e1, podobne ako ohromn\u00fd deficit. Ten sa zn\u00ed\u017eil o viac ne\u017e o polovicu od roku 2009.<\/p>\n

8. BRIC<\/strong><\/p>\n

\"\"<\/a><\/p>\n

Doteraj\u0161\u00ed trend: Krajiny BRIC \u0165ahaj\u00fa svetov\u00fd rast.
\nNov\u00fd trend: \u010c\u00edna je jedinou rast\u00facou krajinou BRIC.<\/em><\/strong><\/p>\n

BRIC sa doned\u00e1vna pova\u017eovali za nov\u00e9 rast\u00face superve\u013emoci, ktor\u00e9 mali prekona\u0165 nadvl\u00e1du Ameriky, Eur\u00f3py a\u00a0Japonska. Krajiny ako Rusko, Braz\u00edlia a India , naz\u00fdvan\u00e9 aj ako tigre mil\u00e9nia, spomalili na 2 – a\u017e 3 % rast, teda na rovnak\u00fa \u00farove\u0148 ako dosahuj\u00fa bohat\u00e9 krajiny. \u010c\u00edna je posledn\u00e1 z\u00a0BRIC-u, ktor\u00e1 sa dr\u017e\u00ed pevne na noh\u00e1ch. Hoci za\u017eila spomalenie, st\u00e1le vykazuje robustn\u00fd 7,5 % rast. Namiesto nastolenia nov\u00e9ho ekonomick\u00e9ho poriadku v \u010dele s\u00a0BRIC, by sme teda mali rad\u0161ej hovori\u0165 len o raste \u010c\u00edny.<\/p>\n

9. Investi\u010dn\u00e1 strat\u00e9gia<\/strong><\/p>\n

\"\"<\/a><\/p>\n

Doteraj\u0161\u00ed trend: Akt\u00edvny mana\u017ement vl\u00e1dne finan\u010dn\u00e9mu svetu.
\nNov\u00fd trend: Zelen\u00fa m\u00e1 pas\u00edvne investovanie.<\/em><\/strong><\/p>\n

Finan\u010dn\u00fd priemysel zar\u00e1ba peniaze hromaden\u00edm poplatkov za spr\u00e1vu akt\u00edv. Penzijn\u00e9, podielov\u00e9, hed\u017eov\u00e9 fondy… Ako by si ka\u017ed\u00fd chcel z vlo\u017een\u00fdch pe\u0148az\u00ed utrhn\u00fa\u0165 poriadny kus pre seba.<\/p>\n

Prekab\u00e1ti\u0165 trh nem\u00f4\u017eu v\u0161etci. St\u00e1le viac investorov pres\u00fava svoje imanie pod pas\u00edvny mana\u017ement. V\u010faka pas\u00edvnej spr\u00e1ve \u0165a\u017eia z m\u00fadrosti cel\u00e9ho trhu. Neut\u00e1paj\u00fa ve\u013ek\u00e9 peniaze v pokusoch ako „oblafn\u00fa\u0165“ ostatn\u00fdch profesion\u00e1lov. Dobrou vo\u013ebou m\u00f4\u017eu by\u0165 ETF, burzovo obchodovan\u00e9 fondy, s ktor\u00fdmi sa v poslednej dobe doslova roztrhlo vrece.<\/p>\n

10. Kto dr\u017e\u00ed americk\u00fd dlh<\/b><\/p>\n

\"\"<\/a><\/p>\n

<\/b>Doteraj\u0161\u00ed trend: \u010c\u00edna skupuje cel\u00fd americk\u00fd dlh.
\nNov\u00fd trend: \u010c\u00edna vypred\u00e1va cel\u00fd americk\u00fd dlh.<\/strong><\/p>\n

T\u00ed, ktor\u00ed si ber\u00fa v USA hypot\u00e9ku, sa zav\u00e4zuj\u00fa \u010c\u00ed\u0148anom. Alebo je to naopak? \u010c\u00ednska vl\u00e1da, najv\u00e4\u010d\u0161\u00ed verite\u013e Spojen\u00fdch \u0161t\u00e1tov, teraz pred\u00e1va americk\u00e9 dlhopisy namiesto toho, aby ich nakupovala. Podobne aj Japonsko. Kto teda nakupuje dlh USA? Ameri\u010dania sami! V\u00e4\u010d\u0161ina dlhu USA s\u00fa peniaze, ktor\u00e9 Ameri\u010dania dlhuj\u00fa jeden druh\u00e9mu, nie cudzincom.<\/p>\n

 <\/p>\n

Zdroj: \u00a0http:\/\/openiazoch.zoznam.sk\/<\/a>\u00a0a\u00a0The Atlantic<\/p>\n

Preklad:\u00a0http:\/\/openiazoch.zoznam.sk\/<\/a><\/p>\n

Tituln\u00e1 fotografia:\u00a0http:\/\/www.damioluwatoyinbo.com<\/a><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

Niektor\u00e9 nov\u00e9 trendy prekvapivo pretv\u00e1raj\u00fa nielen americk\u00fa ekonomiku, ale odr\u00e1\u017eaj\u00fa sa aj v celosvetovom finan\u010dnom syst\u00e9me. S\u00fa\u010dasn\u00fd svet sa kr\u00fati v znamen\u00ed vysokej nezamestnanos\u0165, pomal\u00e9ho rastu, alebo revol\u00facie bridlicov\u00fdch pal\u00edv. To s\u00fa skuto\u010dnosti ktor\u00e9 n\u00e1jdeme aj v hlavn\u00fdch titulkoch svetov\u00fdch m\u00e9di\u00ed. Ob\u010das je ale potrebn\u00e9 vedie\u0165 \u010d\u00edta\u0165 aj medzi riadkami, aby sme zistili, \u017ee nast\u00fapen\u00fd […]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":7,"featured_media":27963,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[1],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-27892","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-nezaradene","eq-blocks"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.slovaklinesmagazin.sk\/cms\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/27892","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.slovaklinesmagazin.sk\/cms\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.slovaklinesmagazin.sk\/cms\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.slovaklinesmagazin.sk\/cms\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/7"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.slovaklinesmagazin.sk\/cms\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=27892"}],"version-history":[{"count":1,"href":"https:\/\/www.slovaklinesmagazin.sk\/cms\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/27892\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":27968,"href":"https:\/\/www.slovaklinesmagazin.sk\/cms\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/27892\/revisions\/27968"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.slovaklinesmagazin.sk\/cms\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/27963"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.slovaklinesmagazin.sk\/cms\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=27892"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.slovaklinesmagazin.sk\/cms\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=27892"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.slovaklinesmagazin.sk\/cms\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=27892"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}